Unlike Major League Baseball, the NBA and the NHL, the NFL has had a harmonious relationship with its players union for almost twenty years (the last work stoppage being the players' strike in 1987). The current collective bargaining agreement has two years left (the agreement expires March 1, 2008) however because if how the NFL accounts for player compensation managing the bones doled out to rookies and free agents will be much harder for teams this spring. This also causes teams problems come March 1st (the start if the new NFL calender year) where teams will only be able to prorate signing bonuses over four years rather than the normal five years. This also makes the popular option bonuses which could kick in at the earliest in year two of a contract, on be able to be prorated over three years if the CBA us not extended.
According to Denver Broncos owner Pat Bowlen, who is also one of the leagues negotiators, the salary cap could "die" if no CBA is reached by March 1 (according to the article the will be no cap for the 2007 season if an agreement can't be reached). There are three major issues that I see could prevent the CBA to be extended (1) howto divide the ever-increasing revenue between the players and owners (revenue now stands at $5.7 billion annually), (2) how revenue is shared amongst the high and low revenue producing teams, (3) The uncertainity of the labor agreement is also likely to nix the return of football to LA.
I believe it is in the best interest in the long haul to come to an agreement before March 1, 2006 (definitely before the agreement expires in 2008) even if both sides have to concede some of their desires. First, I believe that the past twenty-years of labor peace has helped make the NFL the most popular sport in the US (that and the fact that people can tailgate starting at 6 a.m. and be hammered before they walk into the stadium; football is the only "real" sport that mistakingly glorifies drunks as being passionate fans).
If the NFL doesn't resolve their labor issues by March 1st, as Tom condon head of IMG's football division said "there is potential for this to be a real mess" and i beleive it could cost them the entire 2008 season. however, I don't believe that the situation will get that far because the NFL players union has a reputation as being weak. Just look at what happened in 1987 when the players went on strike, the NFL got replacement players and after four or sex games (I believe the strike last six games but for some reason four has suddenly resonated with me)the players union folded quicker then a murder suspect under interrogation (practically conceding to every demand). There is talk however, about the players' union decertifying if an agreement is not reached which could give the union the upper hand in bargaining, initially.
I think the biggest hurdle in these negotiations is determining how to split the revenue between the teams and players. As a person who is not a huge management supporter, I believe the union should get their requested 65% cut, for making the owners as much money as they do. In addition, I don't believe that either side wants the 2007 season to be capless because the cap is part of the reason there is parity in the NFL and makes the league so intriguing (that and as mentioned before the non-stop drinking that goes on). I beleive that both sides of the equation benefit from this parity; the NFL benefits from the gate receipts which continues to grow because fans believe any given year "their team" can win the Super Bowl abd the players benefit because the talent us spread throughout the league as the of the salary cap forcing teams to be judicicial in how they spend their money. I'm not sure why the NFL seems to be so intent on bringing football back to Los Angeles, granted LA has a humongous fan base and their TV market size is astromical but the NFL seems to be doing just fine without LA. Besides, the NFL has been talking about having a team in LA ever since the Raiders moved back to Oakland but the city has balked at building a new stadium time and time again.